2018 Columbia Fall Salmon Outlook, SW WA Tribs Springer Forecasts Issued

Columbia salmon managers are offering more glimpses at how 2018 returns to the big river may shape up.

Following on last week’s spring Chinook forecast, this afternoon they’ve issued outlooks for fall Chinook and coho stocks.

RETURNS OF FALL BRIGHTS TO THE HANFORD REACH ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN AT PRE-2013 LEVELS, WHICH IS TO SAY, NOT AS GOOD AS WE’VE BEEN SEEING IN RECENT SEASONS. CLAY AND WILLIAM HULL SHOW OFF ONE CAUGHT ON THE HANFORD REACH THIS YEAR. (FISHING PHOTO CONTEST)

But where the year’s first salmon is predicted to see an uptick, it doesn’t look as positive for the year’s last major runs.

Here’s what the just-issued report says in full:

COLUMBIA RIVER FALL CHINOOK
2017 PRELIMINARY RETURNS AND
OUTLOOK FOR 2018

2017 Preliminary Returns
? Adult fall Chinook returns were predicted to be 614,000 fish.
? Preliminary returns are about three-fourths of the forecast.
? Bright stock jack returns are similar to last year.

2018 Outlook
? Bright stocks should be similar to years prior to 2013.
? Tule stocks should be less than the recent 10 year average.
? Poor ocean conditions along the Oregon and Washington coasts could potentially have negative impacts on tule fall Chinook and Coho returns.

Columbia River Coho
? 2017 preliminary return is a little over half of the preseason forecast of 319,300.
? Jack returns to the Columbia River are about 70% of the recent 3-year average.

Tule Stocks
LRH – Lower River Hatchery stock
BPH – Bonneville Pool Hatchery stock
Bright Stocks
URB – Upriver Bright stock
PUB – Pool Upriver Bright stock
BUB – Bonneville Bright stock
LRW – Lower River Wild stock
SAB – Select Area Bright stock

And in one final burst of foresoothery, WDFW’S Region 5 office put predictions for the Cowlitz, Kalama and Lewis:

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